Manazarcin jigilar kayayyaki Lars Jensen ya bayyana cewa Tariffs 2.0 na Trump na iya haifar da "tasirin yo-yo," ma'ana cewa buƙatun shigo da kwantena na Amurka na iya canzawa sosai, kama da yo-yo, yana raguwa sosai a wannan faɗuwar kuma ta sake komawa cikin 2026.
A zahiri, yayin da muke shiga 2025, abubuwan da ke faruwa a cikin kasuwar jigilar kaya ba su da alama suna bin “rubutun” wanda manazarta gabaɗaya ke tsammani. Abin farin ciki, ƙalubalen da ya fi daukar hankali—hadarin yajin aiki a tashar jiragen ruwa ta Gabas—an kawar da shi. A ranar 8 ga Janairu, Ƙungiyar Longshoremen ta Duniya (ILA) da Ƙungiyar Maritime Alliance (USMX) sun ba da sanarwar yarjejeniya ta farko. Ko da kuwa, wannan hakika labari ne mai kyau don kwanciyar hankali a cikin kasuwar jigilar kaya a cikin 2025.
A halin yanzu, ƙaddamar da ƙaddamar da iya aiki ta Premier Alliance, haɗin gwiwar "Gemini", da Kamfanin Jirgin Ruwa na Bahar Rum (MSC) a farkon Fabrairu na iya haifar da rikice-rikice na ɗan gajeren lokaci, amma da zarar an kammala ƙaddamar da ƙarfin aiki, kwanciyar hankali da aminci. Ana iya tsammanin yanayin kasuwa don 2025, wanda kuma labari ne mai kyau ga manajan sarkar kayayyaki.
Koyaya, tasirin Trump Tariffs 2.0 har yanzu yana ba da garantin ƙarin la'akari, musamman a yanayin rashin daidaituwar wadatar kayayyaki a kasuwannin Amurka. A zahiri, barazanar haraji kawai ta riga ta shafi kasuwa, tare da wasu masu shigo da kayayyaki na Amurka da gangan "zuwa jigilar kayayyaki" don rage haɗari. Amma abin da zai faru a cikin 2025 da 2026 zai dogara ne akan ma'auni da iyakokin jadawalin da aka aiwatar a ƙarshe.
Har yanzu ba a san girman da lokacin Trump Tariffs 2.0. Duk da haka, idan an aiwatar da tsattsauran ra'ayi, tasirin yo-yo zai shiga cikin wasa.
A halin da ake ciki, Adam Lewis, shugaban Kamfanin Dillalan Kwastam na Clearit a Amurka, ya yi gargadin cewa Trump ya bayyana aniyarsa, kuma saurin aiwatar da shi na iya yin sauri fiye da yadda ake tsammani, yana mai kira da a shirya.
Ya yi gargadin, "Lokacin aiwatarwa na iya zama makonni kawai."
Ya yi nuni da cewa, Trump na iya yin amfani da doka ta musamman don gaggauta aiwatar da shi, tare da tsallake doguwar tattaunawar da aka yi a Majalisar.
Doka daga shekarar 1977 ta bai wa shugaban Amurka izinin shiga tsakani a harkokin kasuwancin kasa da kasa bayan ayyana dokar ta baci don magance duk wata barazanar da Amurka ke fuskanta.
Rahotanni sun nuna cewa mambobin tawagar tattalin arzikin Trump suna tattaunawa kan wani shiri na kara harajin kwastam da kusan kashi 2-5% a kowane wata.
Brandon Fried, babban darektan kungiyar sufurin jiragen sama (AfA), yana da irin wannan damuwa. Ya ce, "Ina ganin muna bukatar mu dauki kalaman Trump kan haraji da muhimmanci."
AfA na adawa da shingen haraji, saboda yawanci suna haɓaka farashi kuma suna iya haifar da ramuwar gayya da ke ƙara hana ciniki. Duk da haka, ya ce, "Wannan jirgin kasa mai sauri ne, kuma ba shi da sauƙi a guje."
Babban hidimarmu:
·Jirgin Ruwa
·Jirgin Jirgin Sama
·Juya Juya Daya Daga Wurin Ware Wajen Waje
Barka da zuwa don tambaya game da farashi tare da mu:
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Lokacin aikawa: Janairu-18-2025
